(NFL) MVP Front Runner = Market Down???
When Patrick Mahomes lost Tyreek Hill this off season, many called into question Mahomes ability to play quarterback. This was not a fringe group of people either, you had many television personalities such as Bart Scott proclaiming they would miss the playoffs...
Needless to say the Chiefs doubters and critics were 1000% wrong with their predictions. Not only do the Chiefs have the #1 record in the AFC but Mahomes also sits atop the NFL MVP favorites at -550. With two games left, Mahomes has 4720 yards, 37 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 78 QBR, and 105 Rating.
Odds to Win 2022-23 NFL MVP
| Player | Odds to Win NFL MVP |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | -550 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +600 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +1000 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +1000 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | +7000 |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | +25000 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +25000 |
| Kirk Cousins (MIN) | +30000 |
So how exactly is Mahomes market doing over this season?
Unfortunately it is down and down big, at -38.37%, this chart reflects someone who IS NOT the NFL MVP front runner. While yes, the market is down as a whole, exceptions for elite QB play are a thing. Jalen Hurts is up 82% in the last 3 months but to be fair players like Josh Allen and Joe Burrow are down.
Will this trend continue or will the market correct itself with a Super Bowl run? It is impossible to tell at this point and anyone selling you guarantees is lying to you. One would assume a Super Bowl run would work in his markets favor but one would think a dominate MVP season would as well.