Why you mustn't panic over weeks 1 and 2 quarterback play

Card Ladder
Sep 17, 20221 min read

Getting off to a hot start is vitalty important to the NFL, as we know it can often decide if you make the playoffs or not. Since 2007, 98 teams have started the season 0–2. Of those 98 teams only 12 (12.2%) have ended up making the playoffs (wildcard included). While on the other hand, starting 2–0 does not guarantee you a playoff spot but you have a fairly good shot. In 98 cases of teams starting 2–0, 54 of those teams made it to the postseason (55.1%) [1]. Since 1980, only 6 teams in NFL history have recovered from an 0–3 start to make the playoffs (including wildcard).

Thankfully as we know with younger quarterbacks they are not immediately judged on winning. Justin Herbert had a $1,800,000 sale and has a career losing record and never made the playoffs.

Here are some recent players who went onto win league MVPs after bad week 1's

Player

Year

Cmp

Att

Yds

TD

INT

Rat

Aaron Rodgers

2021

15

28

133

0

2

36.8

Tom Brady

2017

16

36

237

0

0

70

Cam Newton

2015

18

31

175

1

1

71.3

Aaron Rodgers

2014

23

33

189

1

1

81.5

With a plethora of team heading into the season with new quarterbacks, coaches, and or offensive coordinators. It really can take time for a quarterback to feel comfortable, as we saw with Jared Goff.

Goff notably jumped in 2017 with the addition of Sean McVay and Jeff Fisher leaving. For players who cannot be generational talents and overcome any horrid situation, coaching matters. With extremely complex and in depth coaching schemes, expect it to take a few weeks for quarterbacks to acclimate.